Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 3.883609 4.145963 4.425482 4.746891 5.108075 5.503568 5.972351
2025-09-21 3.405687 3.761458 4.162753 4.654277 5.247712 5.951415 6.865435
2025-09-28 3.125259 3.528512 4.000807 4.604936 5.372865 6.339945 7.691712
2025-10-05 2.938794 3.375070 3.901387 4.598667 5.524037 6.752090 8.588097
2025-10-12 2.830557 3.300940 3.883865 4.681810 5.785480 7.328599 9.803786
2025-10-19 2.733923 3.230065 3.859290 4.745732 6.018494 7.887107 11.099100
2025-10-26 2.630842 3.141539 3.801679 4.754409 6.167062 8.333057 12.304005
2025-11-02 2.509197 3.020120 3.690055 4.674867 6.172027 8.548484 13.145008
2025-11-09 2.388036 2.892219 3.560813 4.558193 6.105495 8.633067 13.751821
2025-11-16 2.295058 2.797135 3.470602 4.490511 6.106495 8.828008 14.624934
2025-11-23 2.242042 2.753203 3.448393 4.520754 6.264910 9.318336 16.271506
2025-11-30 2.188337 2.705315 3.417149 4.533618 6.393798 9.771710 17.988795
2025-12-07 2.090184 2.593508 3.291280 4.395896 6.261528 9.721453 18.476363
2025-12-14 2.013995 2.509942 3.203101 4.312720 6.218008 9.844514 19.492801
2025-12-21 1.954710 2.447639 3.142698 4.269040 6.238792 10.099738 20.994077
2025-12-28 1.909965 2.404105 3.107699 4.263493 6.326953 10.510824 23.183416
2026-01-04 1.888814 2.393340 3.120759 4.336955 6.568181 11.304295 27.186290
2026-01-11 1.864562 2.376852 3.123908 4.393368 6.782455 12.082966 31.834821
2026-01-18 1.829990 2.343780 3.099749 4.401022 6.900881 12.654320 36.198815
2026-01-25 1.779223 2.285036 3.033179 4.330825 6.854544 12.794165 38.608121
2026-02-01 1.723512 2.217366 2.950267 4.227694 6.731866 12.712145 39.782299
2026-02-08 1.680319 2.167231 2.893308 4.167778 6.695078 12.861461 42.557950
2026-02-15 1.658532 2.148488 2.885252 4.194559 6.844540 13.566440 50.044750